Football Master Pack
Sell on Marketplace nets +$14.53 on average at $100.
+$14.53
you gain on avg
$117.53
market EV
$100.00
pack price
+14% net return (best scenario: Sell on Marketplace)
Updated just now
Cash-Out Scenarios
Your actual return depends on how you exit. Toggle between scenarios to see the all-in cost breakdown.
| Pack price | $100.00 |
| CC processing (~3%) | +$3.00 |
| Total cost | $103.00 |
| Market EV | $117.53 |
| Buyback cut (10%) | −$11.75 |
| Net EV (Instant Buyback) | $105.78 |
Odds Breakdown
Each tier shows the probability and value range for cards you could pull. EV contribution = midpoint value × probability.
| Tier | Odds | Value Range | Midpoint | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| base | 43.2% | $50.00–$75.00 | $62.50 | $27.00(23%) |
| common | 27.0% | $75.00–$100.00 | $87.50 | $23.63(20%) |
| uncommon | 23.0% | $100.00–$200.00 | $150.00 | $34.50(29%) |
| rare | 6.0% | $200.00–$400.00 | $300.00 | $18.00(15%) |
| chase | 0.8% | $400.00–$3200.00 | $1800.00 | $14.40(12%) |
| Market EV | $117.53 | |||
Chase Cards
The top cards in this pack's pool, sorted by estimated value.
2023 Panini Donruss Optic Rookie Recruits #4 CJ Stroud - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2022 Panini Contenders #263 Brock Purdy - Autograph-Championship Ticket (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
—
2019 Panini Absolute Kaboom! #K-KM Kyler Murray (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2017 Panini Select '18 NFL Draft Xrc Prizm Redemption #323 Sam Darnold - Autograph-Gold Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2018 Panini Donruss Elite Pen Pals Duals Autographs #AFC Josh Allen/Sam Darnold - Blue Ink (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2023 Panini Prizm #397 Will Levis - Gold Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2020 Upper Deck Goodwin Champions 2003-04 Exquisite Collection Rookie Autograph Patch #JB Joe Burrow (PSA 8 NM-MT)
—
2020 Panini Chronicles Draft Picks Downtown Collegiate #D5 Joe Burrow (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini Prizm #329 Drake Maye - Silver Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini Prizm #347 Jayden Daniels - Blue Ice (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini Prizm Draft Picks Manga #MGABNX Bo Nix (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2018 Panini Kaboom! #PM Peyton Manning (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2024 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Vertical #13 Rome Odunze (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2022 Panini Mosaic #274 Sam Howell - Red/Yellow Fusion Choice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini Prizm Color Blast #16 Ricky Pearsall (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini National Sports Collectors Convention VIP Gold Rookies #RC19 Spencer Rattler - Autograph-Black Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini Prizm #315 Brock Bowers - Gold Shimmer (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2018 Panini Select #205 Lamar Jackson - Copper Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini Prizm Manga #MCMC Christian McCaffrey - Vertical (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2017 Panini Phoenix #104 Patrick Mahomes II - Purple (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Topps Now #D2C Jayden Daniels - Autograph-Blue (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2004 Bowman's Best Double Coverage Autographs #DCAMF Eli Manning/Larry Fitzgerald (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini Donruss Optic Rookie Kings #15 Brian Thomas Jr. - Black Pandora (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2001 Topps Rookie Premiere Autograph #RP-DB Drew Brees - Rookie Premiere Autograph (PSA 8 NM-MT)
—
2021 Panini Father's Day #FB5 Josh Allen - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2018 Panini Select #207 Josh Allen - Red Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2023 Panini Prizm #339 CJ Stroud - No Huddle Blue (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2022 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DTBP Brock Purdy (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2020 Panini Contenders Optic #104 Justin Herbert - Autograph-Teal (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2017 Panini Donruss Optic the Rookies #7 Patrick Mahomes II - Red (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2020 Panini Honors #11 Jordan Love - Signature-Purple (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2023 Panini Prizm Prizm Flashback Rookie #PFR4 Anthony Richardson - Gold Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2018 Panini Donruss Optic #167 Lamar Jackson - Purple (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Duos #10 Caleb Williams/Rome Odunze (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2020 Panini Prizm #343 Jalen Hurts - Red Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
1986 Topps #374 Steve Young (PSA 9 MINT)
—
2019 Panini Absolute Kaboom! #K-TG Todd Gurley II (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2023 Bowman University Best Best of 2023 Autographs #BOABN Bo Nix - Red Geometric (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2021 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT18 Peyton Manning (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini Donruss Downtown! #13 Drake Maye (PSA 9 MINT)
—
1952 Bowman Large #144 Jim Lansford (PSA 5 EX)
—
2000 Bowman #236 Tom Brady (PSA 8 NM-MT)
—
2024 Panini Prizm #301 Caleb Williams - Silver Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2023 Panini Prizm #360 Aidan O'Connell - Gold Wave (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
1976 Topps #148 Walter Payton (PSA 7 NM)
—
2017 Panini Black Friday Football #57 Patrick Mahomes II (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini Prizm #400 JJ McCarthy - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2024 Panini Instant Nil College Football Open Edition Autographs #IAOE6 Julian Sayin (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2023 Bowman University Chrome #36 Travis Hunter - Autograph-Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
—
2023 Panini Donruss Optic International Downtown #1 Eli Manning (PSA 9 MINT)
—
Assumptions
- ●Odds and prices come from Courtyard's public API, updated hourly.
- ●EV uses the midpoint of each tier's value range. Actual card values vary within each tier.
- ●Credit card processing estimated at 3%. Pay with USDC to avoid this fee.
- ●Domestic shipping estimated at $8 + $2 handling for the redeem scenario. International shipping costs more.
- ●EV is an average. Any single rip can be much higher or lower. Chase cards are rare.