Football Diamond Pack
Sell on Marketplace is +$27.70 — close to breakeven.
+$27.70
you gain on avg
$1057.70
market EV
$1000.00
pack price
+3% net return (best scenario: Sell on Marketplace)
Updated just now
Cash-Out Scenarios
Your actual return depends on how you exit. Toggle between scenarios to see the all-in cost breakdown.
| Pack price | $1000.00 |
| CC processing (~3%) | +$30.00 |
| Total cost | $1030.00 |
| Market EV | $1057.70 |
| Buyback cut (10%) | −$105.77 |
| Net EV (Instant Buyback) | $951.93 |
Odds Breakdown
Each tier shows the probability and value range for cards you could pull. EV contribution = midpoint value × probability.
| Tier | Odds | Value Range | Midpoint | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| base | 41.8% | $700.00–$850.00 | $775.00 | $323.95(31%) |
| common | 35.0% | $850.00–$1000.00 | $925.00 | $323.75(31%) |
| uncommon | 20.0% | $1000.00–$2000.00 | $1500.00 | $300.00(28%) |
| rare | 3.0% | $2000.00–$4000.00 | $3000.00 | $90.00(9%) |
| chase | 0.2% | $4000.00–$16000.00 | $10000.00 | $20.00(2%) |
| Market EV | $1057.70 | |||
Chase Cards
The top cards in this pack's pool, sorted by estimated value.
2020 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT1 Pat Tillman (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini Contenders #105 Josh Allen - Variation-Autograph-Ticket Stub (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2017 Panini Contenders Optic #103 Patrick Mahomes II - Autograph (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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2020 Panini Flawless Rookie Dual Patch Autographs #RDPAJL Jordan Love - Bronze (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2000 Press Pass Autograph #3 Tom Brady (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2000 Bowman Chrome #236 Tom Brady (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2017 Panini Contenders Rookie of the Year Contenders Autographs #RY-PM Patrick Mahomes II (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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2020 Panini National Treasures #158 Justin Herbert - Patch Autograph-Stars & Stripes (BGS 9 MINT)
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2021 Panini Flawless Dual Diamond Memorabilia #DD3 Joe Burrow/Justin Herbert - Platinum 1/1 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2020 Panini Select Signatures Prizm #SITBR Tom Brady - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini National Treasures #163 Josh Allen - Patch Autograph-Green Jersey Number (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)
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2024 Panini National Treasures Stars and Stripes Premium #156 JJ McCarthy JSY AU (BGS 8 NM-MT)
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2000 SP Authentic #118 Tom Brady (BGS 9 MINT)
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2020 Panini Donruss #P301 Joe Burrow - Optic Preview-Gold (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Panini National Treasures Crossover Rookie Patch Autographs NFL Shield #2 Anthony Richardson (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)
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2024 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Vertical #12 Joe Milton III - Gold (PSA 9 MINT)
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2018 Panini National Treasures Rookie Material Signatures RPS Black #5 Lamar Jackson/3 (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)
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2024 Panini Donruss Downtown! #16 Jayden Daniels - Gold (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Vertical #K29 Bryce Young - Gold (PSA 9 MINT)
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2018 Panini Flawless Star Swatch Signatures #SW-PM Patrick Mahomes II (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D3 Anthony Richardson - Gold (PSA 9 MINT)
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2024 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Vertical #41 Caleb Williams (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Select #503 Drake Maye - Gold Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)
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2024 Panini Prizm #375 Marvin Harrison Jr. - Gold Prizm (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Select #313 Bryce Young - Dragon Scale Black Prizm 1/1 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #25 Michael Vick - Black Pandora (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini National Treasures #161 Baker Mayfield JSY AU RC (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini Kaboom! #PMA Patrick Mahomes II (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Topps Composite Jumbo Patch Autographs Vertical Black #CJPAVBY Bryce Young (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)
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2023 Panini Prizm #311 Bryce Young - Gold Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)
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1998 SkyBox Premium Star Rubies #189 Emmitt Smith (BGS 7 NM)
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2023 Panini Flawless Collegiate Star Swatch Signatures #SSSCW Caleb Williams - Pink (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2020 Panini Flawless Rookie Dual Patch Autographs #RDPATT Tua Tagovailoa - Silver (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D1 Bryce Young - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2005 Playoff Absolute Memorabilia Absolute Patches #AP-23 Tom Brady (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D3 Anthony Richardson - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Duos #13 Bo Nix/John Elway - Black Pandora (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm Color Blast #CB6 CJ Stroud (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Prizm #378 Michael Penix Jr. - Gold Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2020 Panini National Treasures #157 Tua Tagovailoa - Patch Autograph (BGS 8 NM-MT)
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2021 Panini Contenders Optic #101 Trevor Lawrence - Autograph-Cracked Ice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Prizm #329 Drake Maye - Red Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Donruss Optic Uptowns #5 Marvin Harrison Jr. - Gold Vinyl 1/1 (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #343 Anthony Richardson - Autograph-Green Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1957 Topps #119 Bart Starr (PSA 7.5 NM+)
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2023 Panini Prizm #311 Bryce Young - Gold Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #339 CJ Stroud - Blue Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D3 Anthony Richardson - Black Pandora (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Prizm #301 Caleb Williams - Red Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2000 Bowman Chrome #236 Tom Brady (PSA 9 MINT)
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Assumptions
- ●Odds and prices come from Courtyard's public API, updated hourly.
- ●EV uses the midpoint of each tier's value range. Actual card values vary within each tier.
- ●Credit card processing estimated at 3%. Pay with USDC to avoid this fee.
- ●Domestic shipping estimated at $8 + $2 handling for the redeem scenario. International shipping costs more.
- ●EV is an average. Any single rip can be much higher or lower. Chase cards are rare.