Rip or Flip
Basketball · Platinum · Courtyard
TOSS UP

Basketball Platinum Pack

Sell on Marketplace is +$18.85 — close to breakeven.

+$18.85

you gain on avg

$533.85

market EV

$500.00

pack price

+4% net return (best scenario: Sell on Marketplace)

Updated just now

Cash-Out Scenarios

Your actual return depends on how you exit. Toggle between scenarios to see the all-in cost breakdown.

TOSS UP−7%net return
Pack price$500.00
CC processing (~3%)+$15.00
Total cost$515.00
Market EV$533.85
Buyback cut (10%)$53.38
Net EV (Instant Buyback)$480.47

Odds Breakdown

Each tier shows the probability and value range for cards you could pull. EV contribution = midpoint value × probability.

Odds breakdown by value tier
TierOddsValue RangeMidpointEV Contribution
base42.8%$350.00$425.00$387.50$165.85(31%)
common32.0%$425.00$500.00$462.50$148.00(28%)
uncommon22.0%$500.00$1000.00$750.00$165.00(31%)
rare3.0%$1000.00$2000.00$1500.00$45.00(8%)
chase0.2%$2000.00$8000.00$5000.00$10.00(2%)
Market EV$533.85

Chase Cards

The top cards in this pack's pool, sorted by estimated value.

1
2018 Panini Prizm #280 Luka Doncic - Fast Break Prizm-Purple (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2018 Panini Prizm #280 Luka Doncic - Fast Break Prizm-Purple (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2
1996 Stadium Club Finest Reprint #24 Michael Jordan - Refractor (PSA 9 MINT)

1996 Stadium Club Finest Reprint #24 Michael Jordan - Refractor (PSA 9 MINT)

3
2024 Panini Select WNBA Autographed Memorabilia #AMCC Caitlin Clark - Purple Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Select WNBA Autographed Memorabilia #AMCC Caitlin Clark - Purple Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

4
2003 Topps Pristine #101 LeBron James - Refractor (BGS 10 PRISTINE)

2003 Topps Pristine #101 LeBron James - Refractor (BGS 10 PRISTINE)

5
2004 SP Authentic SP Triple Signatures #HJM Dwight Howard/LeBron James/Yao Ming (PSA 9 MINT)

2004 SP Authentic SP Triple Signatures #HJM Dwight Howard/LeBron James/Yao Ming (PSA 9 MINT)

6
2021 Panini Prizm Sensational Signatures #SSCCU Cade Cunningham - Green Choice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2021 Panini Prizm Sensational Signatures #SSCCU Cade Cunningham - Green Choice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

7
1998 Flair Showcase TAKEIT2.Net #13 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

1998 Flair Showcase TAKEIT2.Net #13 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

8
2003 Ultimate Collection Ultimate Signatures #MJ-A Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

2003 Ultimate Collection Ultimate Signatures #MJ-A Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

9
2022 Panini One and One Downtown #6 LeBron James (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2022 Panini One and One Downtown #6 LeBron James (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

10
2024 Panini Rookie Royalty WNBA Contenders Rookie Season Ticket Autograph #1 Caitlin Clark (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Rookie Royalty WNBA Contenders Rookie Season Ticket Autograph #1 Caitlin Clark (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

11
2011 Upper Deck World of Sports #35 Michael Jordan - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2011 Upper Deck World of Sports #35 Michael Jordan - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

12
2013 Panini Prizm #290 Giannis Antetokounmpo - Purple Die-Cut Prizm (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

2013 Panini Prizm #290 Giannis Antetokounmpo - Purple Die-Cut Prizm (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

13
2023 Panini Spectra Color Blast #5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Spectra Color Blast #5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

14
2024 Panini Prizm #243 Bronny James Jr. - Gold Prizm (BGS 7.5 NM+)

2024 Panini Prizm #243 Bronny James Jr. - Gold Prizm (BGS 7.5 NM+)

15
2006 Finest #102 Kevin Durant - Gold Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2006 Finest #102 Kevin Durant - Gold Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

16
1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 6 EX-MT)

1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 6 EX-MT)

17
1997 Finest Embossed #154 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

1997 Finest Embossed #154 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

18
1995 Flair Hot Numbers #4 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

1995 Flair Hot Numbers #4 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

19
2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama - Red Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama - Red Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

20
2021 Panini Donruss Optic #161 Cade Cunningham - Dragon Choice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2021 Panini Donruss Optic #161 Cade Cunningham - Dragon Choice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

21
1986 Fleer Sticker #8 Michael Jordan (PSA 9 MINT)

1986 Fleer Sticker #8 Michael Jordan (PSA 9 MINT)

22
2023 Panini Prizm #127 Keyonte George - Gold Prizm (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

2023 Panini Prizm #127 Keyonte George - Gold Prizm (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

23
1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 5 EX)

1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 5 EX)

24
2023 Panini Prizm #179 GG Jackson II - Gold Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm #179 GG Jackson II - Gold Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)

25
2023 Topps Mercury: Victor Wembanyama Autographs #WA10 Victor Wembanyama - Orange Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Topps Mercury: Victor Wembanyama Autographs #WA10 Victor Wembanyama - Orange Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

26
2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama - Blue Fast Break (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama - Blue Fast Break (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

27
2018 Panini Prizm #184 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Purple Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2018 Panini Prizm #184 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Purple Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

28
2021 Panini Donruss Optic Fast Break Signatures #FBCCN Cade Cunningham - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2021 Panini Donruss Optic Fast Break Signatures #FBCCN Cade Cunningham - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

29
2023 Panini Spectra Color Blast #12 Nikola Jokic (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Spectra Color Blast #12 Nikola Jokic (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

30
2003 SP Signature Authentic Signature #AS-MJ Michael Jordan (BGS 9 MINT)

2003 SP Signature Authentic Signature #AS-MJ Michael Jordan (BGS 9 MINT)

31
1986 Star Best of the New/Old #2 Michael Jordan (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

1986 Star Best of the New/Old #2 Michael Jordan (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

32
2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama - Red Fast Break (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama - Red Fast Break (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

33
2015 Panini Revolution #114 Nikola Jokic - Cosmic (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2015 Panini Revolution #114 Nikola Jokic - Cosmic (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

34
1997 Ultra Stars #17 Shawn Kemp - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

1997 Ultra Stars #17 Shawn Kemp - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

35
2023 Topps Mercury: Victor Wembanyama Autograph Relics #WAR9E Victor Wembanyama - Orange (PSA 8 NM-MT)

2023 Topps Mercury: Victor Wembanyama Autograph Relics #WAR9E Victor Wembanyama - Orange (PSA 8 NM-MT)

36
2023 Bowman U Now March Madness Dual Autographs #DABC Caitlin Clark/Paige Bueckers (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Bowman U Now March Madness Dual Autographs #DABC Caitlin Clark/Paige Bueckers (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

37
2020 Panini Donruss Optic Star Gazing #3 LeBron James - Gold Pulsar (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Donruss Optic Star Gazing #3 LeBron James - Gold Pulsar (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

38
2022 Panini Spectra Color Blast #17 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2022 Panini Spectra Color Blast #17 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

39
2022 Panini Contenders #137 Chet Holmgren - Autograph-Premium Edition-Gold (PSA 9 MINT)

2022 Panini Contenders #137 Chet Holmgren - Autograph-Premium Edition-Gold (PSA 9 MINT)

40
1988 Fleer #17 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

1988 Fleer #17 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

41
2018 Panini Prizm Sensational Signatures #SSSGA Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Mojo Prizm (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

2018 Panini Prizm Sensational Signatures #SSSGA Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Mojo Prizm (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

42
2023 Panini Prizm #119 Stephen Curry - King Snake (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm #119 Stephen Curry - King Snake (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

43
1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 3 VG)

1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 3 VG)

44
1985 Star Last 11 Roys #1 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

1985 Star Last 11 Roys #1 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

45
1985 Star Last 11 ROY's #1 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

1985 Star Last 11 ROY's #1 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

46
2015 Panini Immaculate Collection #101 Karl-Anthony Towns - Autograph Patch (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2015 Panini Immaculate Collection #101 Karl-Anthony Towns - Autograph Patch (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

47
2018 Panini Prizm Fast Break Rookie Autographs #FRSGA Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2018 Panini Prizm Fast Break Rookie Autographs #FRSGA Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

48
2020 Panini Flawless Draft Gem Signatures #DGTYG Trae Young - Ruby (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Flawless Draft Gem Signatures #DGTYG Trae Young - Ruby (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

49
2018 Panini Impeccable #115 Trae Young JSY AU RC (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

2018 Panini Impeccable #115 Trae Young JSY AU RC (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

50
2020 Panini Prizm #1 LeBron James - Purple Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)

2020 Panini Prizm #1 LeBron James - Purple Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)

Rip this pack on Courtyard →

Assumptions

  • Odds and prices come from Courtyard's public API, updated hourly.
  • EV uses the midpoint of each tier's value range. Actual card values vary within each tier.
  • Credit card processing estimated at 3%. Pay with USDC to avoid this fee.
  • Domestic shipping estimated at $8 + $2 handling for the redeem scenario. International shipping costs more.
  • EV is an average. Any single rip can be much higher or lower. Chase cards are rare.
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