Basketball Master Pack
Sell on Marketplace is +$8.81 — close to breakeven.
+$8.81
you gain on avg
$111.81
market EV
$100.00
pack price
+9% net return (best scenario: Sell on Marketplace)
Updated just now
Cash-Out Scenarios
Your actual return depends on how you exit. Toggle between scenarios to see the all-in cost breakdown.
| Pack price | $100.00 |
| CC processing (~3%) | +$3.00 |
| Total cost | $103.00 |
| Market EV | $111.81 |
| Buyback cut (10%) | −$11.18 |
| Net EV (Instant Buyback) | $100.63 |
Odds Breakdown
Each tier shows the probability and value range for cards you could pull. EV contribution = midpoint value × probability.
| Tier | Odds | Value Range | Midpoint | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| base | 44.1% | $50.00–$75.00 | $62.50 | $27.56(25%) |
| common | 26.0% | $75.00–$100.00 | $87.50 | $22.75(20%) |
| uncommon | 23.0% | $100.00–$200.00 | $150.00 | $34.50(31%) |
| rare | 6.0% | $200.00–$400.00 | $300.00 | $18.00(16%) |
| chase | 0.9% | $400.00–$1600.00 | $1000.00 | $9.00(8%) |
| Market EV | $111.81 | |||
Chase Cards
The top cards in this pack's pool, sorted by estimated value.
1980 Topps #6 Scoring Leader - Bird,Erving,Johnson (PSA 7 NM)
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1972 Topps #195 Julius Erving (PSA 7.5 NM+)
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2018 Panini Donruss Optic #162 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Autograph-Holo (PSA 9 MINT)
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2018 Panini Donruss Optic #162 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Checkerboard (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini National Sports Collectors Convention VIP Gold Rookies #RC9 Caitlin Clark - White Sparkles (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2016 Panini Studio From Downtown #FD14 Devin Booker (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2019 Panini Prizm #248 Zion Williamson - Blue Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1996 Skybox E-X2000 #65 David Robinson - Credentials (PSA 9 MINT)
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1996 Skybox E-X2000 #75 John Stockton - Credentials (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2018 Panini Prizm #184 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Choice Prizm-Blue/Yellow/Green (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2015 Panini Prizm #335 Nikola Jokic - Silver Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)
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2020 Panini Flawless Dual Patches #DPJTT Jayson Tatum (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Bowman University Best Prospect Jumbo Relic Autographs #PJRPB Paige Bueckers - Honor Roll (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama - Silver Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2009 Upper Deck Now Appearing #NA-6 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2016 Panini Prizm #220 Pascal Siakam - Gold Prizm (BGS 9 MINT)
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2018 Panini Prizm #184 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Fast Break Prizm-Pink (PSA 9 MINT)
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2020 Panini Select #63 LaMelo Ball - Gold Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)
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1996 Topps Chrome #110 Anfernee Hardaway - Refractor (PSA 9 MINT)
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1961 Fleer #8 Wilt Chamberlain (PSA 1 PR)
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2019 Panini Mosaic #234 Kendrick Nunn - Nebula 1/1 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini Contenders Draft Picks #126 Luka Doncic - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini Donruss Optic #162 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Checkerboard (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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2011 SP Authentic #27 Kawhi Leonard - Autograph-Gold (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #155 Leonard Miller - Gold Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini Revolution #130 Jalen Brunson - Chinese New Year-Holo Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1948 Bowman #34 Joe Fulks (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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1980 Topps #6 Bird/Erving/Johnson - Bird,Erving,Johnson (SGC 7 NM)
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2021 Bowman University Chrome Prospect Autographs #CH Chet Holmgren - Orange Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini Prizm #280 Luka Doncic - Silver Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Topps Mercury: Victor Wembanyama Autographs #WA2 Victor Wembanyama - Gold Refractor (PSA 9 MINT)
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1997 Bowman's Best #106 Tim Duncan - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm Deca #116 Victor Wembanyama - Purple Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)
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2003 Fleer E-X #73 Carmelo Anthony - Essential Cred. Now (PSA 9 MINT)
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2018 Panini Select #7 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Zebra Prizm (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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2009 Topps Chrome #96 Blake Griffin - Gold Refractor (PSA 9 MINT)
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1980 Topps #6 Scoring Leader - Bird,Erving,Johnson (BVG 7.5 NM+)
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2014 Panini Select #209 Kobe Bryant - Silver Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini Donruss Optic #162 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Lime Green (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini Status New Breed Autographs #NBSGA Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1986 Star X (No Longer Grading) #166 Patrick Ewing (BGS 9 MINT)
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1997 Finest #287 Michael Jordan - Refractor (PSA 9 MINT)
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1986 Fleer #7 Charles Barkley (PSA 9 MINT)
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1996 Skybox E-X2000 #8 Glen Rice - Credentials (PSA 9 MINT)
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2018 Panini Contenders Optic Up and Coming Autographs #TYG Trae Young (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2022 Panini Contenders #112 Paolo Banchero - Autograph-Playoff (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #137 Jaime Jaquez Jr. - White Ice (PSA 9 MINT)
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2024 Panini Prizm Draft Picks Signatures #SBUE Paige Bueckers (PSA 9 MINT)
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1991 Hoops Prototypes 00 #004 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2006 Finest #1 Carmelo Anthony - Black Refractor (PSA 9 MINT)
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Assumptions
- ●Odds and prices come from Courtyard's public API, updated hourly.
- ●EV uses the midpoint of each tier's value range. Actual card values vary within each tier.
- ●Credit card processing estimated at 3%. Pay with USDC to avoid this fee.
- ●Domestic shipping estimated at $8 + $2 handling for the redeem scenario. International shipping costs more.
- ●EV is an average. Any single rip can be much higher or lower. Chase cards are rare.