Basketball Diamond Pack
Sell on Marketplace is +$28.95 — close to breakeven.
+$28.95
you gain on avg
$1058.95
market EV
$1000.00
pack price
+3% net return (best scenario: Sell on Marketplace)
Updated just now
Cash-Out Scenarios
Your actual return depends on how you exit. Toggle between scenarios to see the all-in cost breakdown.
| Pack price | $1000.00 |
| CC processing (~3%) | +$30.00 |
| Total cost | $1030.00 |
| Market EV | $1058.95 |
| Buyback cut (10%) | −$105.89 |
| Net EV (Instant Buyback) | $953.06 |
Odds Breakdown
Each tier shows the probability and value range for cards you could pull. EV contribution = midpoint value × probability.
| Tier | Odds | Value Range | Midpoint | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| base | 44.8% | $700.00–$850.00 | $775.00 | $347.20(33%) |
| common | 31.0% | $850.00–$1000.00 | $925.00 | $286.75(27%) |
| uncommon | 21.0% | $1000.00–$2000.00 | $1500.00 | $315.00(30%) |
| rare | 3.0% | $2000.00–$4000.00 | $3000.00 | $90.00(8%) |
| chase | 0.2% | $4000.00–$16000.00 | $10000.00 | $20.00(2%) |
| Market EV | $1058.95 | |||
Chase Cards
The top cards in this pack's pool, sorted by estimated value.
1996 Spx #R1 Michael Jordan - Record Breaker-Auto. (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2022 Panini Contenders Optic #112 Jalen Williams - Autograph-Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1996 Topps Chrome #171 Allen Iverson - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1997 Topps Rock Stars #RS1 Michael Jordan - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2004 Upper Deck Trilogy Trimarks 1 or 2 #TMHJM Dwight Howard/LeBron James/Yao Ming - 2 (PSA 7 NM)
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1998 Skybox E-X Century Dunk 'N Go-Nuts #15DG Michael Jordan (PSA 9 MINT)
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2022 Panini Flawless Vertical Patch Autographs #VPAPBC Paolo Banchero (PSA 9 MINT)
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1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2001 Topps Pristine Autographs #ATD Tim Duncan (BGS 10 PRISTINE)
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2020 Panini Select Rookie Signatures #RSEDW Anthony Edwards - Gold Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #127 Keyonte George - Gold Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1993 Skybox Premium Showdown Series #SS5 D.Robinson/H.Olajuwon (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2007 Exquisite Collection Exclusives Autographs Patches #MJ Michael Jordan/23 (BGS 9 MINT)
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2021 Panini National Treasures Penmanship Autographs #LKD Luka Doncic - Platinum 1/1 (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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1998 Skybox Molten Metal Fusion #47F Dennis Rodman (PSA 9 MINT)
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2004 Ultimate Collection Signature Patches #SP-LJ LeBron James (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2003 SP Signature Edition Signatures Triple #MGJ Kevin Garnett/Tracy McGrady/LeBron James (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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1984 Star #235 John Stockton (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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1997 Skybox Premium #229 Tim Duncan - Star Rubies (PSA 9 MINT)
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2022 Panini National Treasures #102 Jalen Williams AU JSY RC (BGS 9 MINT)
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2023 Topps 3 Relics Autographs Prime Platinum #RPJT Jayson Tatum (BGS 7.5 NM+)
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1997 Bowman's Best #60 Michael Jordan - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1986 Fleer Sticker #9 Akeem Olajuwon (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini Prizm #184 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - Choice Prizm-Tiger Stripe (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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2018 Panini Prizm #280 Luka Doncic - Fast Break Prizm-Purple (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1996 Stadium Club Finest Reprint #24 Michael Jordan - Refractor (PSA 9 MINT)
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2024 Panini Select WNBA Autographed Memorabilia #AMCC Caitlin Clark - Purple Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2003 Topps Pristine #101 LeBron James - Refractor (BGS 10 PRISTINE)
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2004 SP Authentic SP Triple Signatures #HJM Dwight Howard/LeBron James/Yao Ming (PSA 9 MINT)
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2021 Panini Prizm Sensational Signatures #SSCCU Cade Cunningham - Green Choice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1998 Flair Showcase TAKEIT2.Net #13 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)
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2003 Ultimate Collection Ultimate Signatures #MJ-A Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)
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2024 Panini Rookie Royalty WNBA Contenders Rookie Season Ticket Autograph #1 Caitlin Clark (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2022 Panini One and One Downtown #6 LeBron James (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2011 Upper Deck World of Sports #35 Michael Jordan - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2013 Panini Prizm #290 Giannis Antetokounmpo - Purple Die-Cut Prizm (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Spectra Color Blast #5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Prizm #243 Bronny James Jr. - Gold Prizm (BGS 7.5 NM+)
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2006 Finest #102 Kevin Durant - Gold Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 6 EX-MT)
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1997 Finest Embossed #154 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1995 Flair Hot Numbers #4 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama - Red Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2021 Panini Donruss Optic #161 Cade Cunningham - Dragon Choice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1986 Fleer Sticker #8 Michael Jordan (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #127 Keyonte George - Gold Prizm (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)
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1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 3 VG)
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1985 Star Last 11 ROY's #1 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)
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1985 Star Last 11 Roys #1 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)
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2015 Panini Immaculate Collection #101 Karl-Anthony Towns - Autograph Patch (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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Assumptions
- ●Odds and prices come from Courtyard's public API, updated hourly.
- ●EV uses the midpoint of each tier's value range. Actual card values vary within each tier.
- ●Credit card processing estimated at 3%. Pay with USDC to avoid this fee.
- ●Domestic shipping estimated at $8 + $2 handling for the redeem scenario. International shipping costs more.
- ●EV is an average. Any single rip can be much higher or lower. Chase cards are rare.