Prismatic Evolutions is on the edge.
It could go either way.
Prismatic Evolutions Surprise Box returns 93% — close to breakeven.
All 13 Products
Prismatic Evolutions Surprise Box
7 packs
93.2%
return on $22.70
$22.70 → EV: $21.16
You lose ~$1.54
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions Poster Collection
3 packs
63.5%
return on $15.19
$15.19 → EV: $9.64
You lose ~$5.55
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions Tech Sticker Collection
3 packs
41.5%
return on $22.60
$22.60 → EV: $9.39
You lose ~$13.21
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions ETB
9 packs
32.1%
return on $83.92
$83.92 → EV: $26.92
You lose ~$57.00
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions Booster Pack
1 pack
25.7%
return on $11.19
$11.19 → EV: $2.88
You lose ~$8.31
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin
2 packs
24.6%
return on $23.41
$23.41 → EV: $5.76
You lose ~$17.65
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle
6 packs
24.1%
return on $71.82
$71.82 → EV: $17.28
You lose ~$54.54
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions Accessory Pouch Special Collection
3 packs
19.4%
return on $54.97
$54.97 → EV: $10.64
You lose ~$44.33
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions 2-Pack Blister
2 packs
18.4%
return on $33.99
$33.99 → EV: $6.26
You lose ~$27.73
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions PC ETB
11 packs
18.1%
return on $186.26
$186.26 → EV: $33.68
You lose ~$152.58
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions Binder Collection
4 packs
16.0%
return on $78.13
$78.13 → EV: $12.52
You lose ~$65.61
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions Premium Figure Collection
7 packs
13.2%
return on $175.85
$175.85 → EV: $23.16
You lose ~$152.69
See full breakdown →
Prismatic Evolutions Super-Premium Collection
10 packs
11.5%
return on $294.07
$294.07 → EV: $33.80
You lose ~$260.27
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Umbreon ex - 161/131
#161/131
Special Illustration Rare$1058.45
EV: $0.73
Sylveon ex - 156/131
#156/131
Special Illustration Rare$308.64
EV: $0.21
Leafeon ex - 144/131
#144/131
Special Illustration Rare$243.91
EV: $0.17
Espeon ex - 155/131
#155/131
Special Illustration Rare$205.84
EV: $0.14
Glaceon ex - 150/131
#150/131
Special Illustration Rare$175.26
EV: $0.12
Vaporeon ex - 149/131
#149/131
Special Illustration Rare$170.29
EV: $0.12
Flareon ex - 146/131
#146/131
Special Illustration Rare$161.03
EV: $0.11
Roaring Moon ex
#162/131
Special Illustration Rare$152.07
EV: $0.10
Jolteon ex - 153/131
#153/131
Special Illustration Rare$144.68
EV: $0.10
Eevee ex - 167/131
#167/131
Special Illustration Rare$119.06
EV: $0.08
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 32 | $110.37 | 2.20% | $2.43 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 26 | $1.57 | 16.70% | $0.26 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 5 | $14.75 | 0.80% | $0.12 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $0.68 | 7.70% | $0.05 |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.47 | 4.70% | $0.02 |
| Total EV / Pack | $2.88 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 16.70% | 1 in 6 | 1,200 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 7.70% | 1 in 13 | 1,200 |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 4.70% | 1 in 21 | 1,200 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 2.20% | 1 in 45 | 1,200 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 0.80% | 1 in 125 | 1,200 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Prismatic-Evolutions-Pull-Rates, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-prismatic-evolutions-pull-rates/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Prismatic Evolutions worth opening?
- Prismatic Evolutions Surprise Box sits at 93% return — right on the edge. It could go either way depending on what you pull.
- What is the EV of a Prismatic Evolutions booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Prismatic Evolutions booster pack is $2.88 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Prismatic Evolutions?
- The most valuable cards in Prismatic Evolutions are Umbreon ex - 161/131 ($1058.45), Sylveon ex - 156/131 ($308.64), Leafeon ex - 144/131 ($243.91).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Prismatic Evolutions?
- Pull rates are based on 1,200 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Prismatic Evolutions products return an average of 31% of their sealed price based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 1,200+ pack openings.