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Medium Confidence3,000 packs sampledUpdated 2026-02-24

Shrouded Fable Pull Rates

See the exact odds for every rarity tier in Shrouded Fable, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.

Rarity tiers

6

Rarest listed odds

1 in 143

Hyper Rare

EV per pack

$3.30

Full Pull Rate Table

Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.

Medium Confidence3,000 packs sampled
Double Rare(RR)16.70%
Odds: 1 in 6
Sample: 3,000
Illustration Rare(IR)8.50%
Odds: 1 in 12
Sample: 3,000
Ultra Rare(UR)6.50%
Odds: 1 in 15
Sample: 3,000
ACE SPEC Rare(ACE)5.00%
Odds: 1 in 20
Sample: 3,000
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)1.50%
Odds: 1 in 67
Sample: 3,000
Hyper Rare(HR)0.70%
Odds: 1 in 143
Sample: 3,000

Sources: https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/24/shrouded-fable-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/, https://cardchill.com/article/pokemon-tcg-investment-report-shrouded-fable-booster-bundle

What This Means

Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.

RR

Double Rare

You'll pull a Double Rare roughly 1 in 6.

16.70% odds from 3,000 sampled packs

IR

Illustration Rare

You'll pull a Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 12.

8.50% odds from 3,000 sampled packs

UR

Ultra Rare

You'll pull a Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 15.

6.50% odds from 3,000 sampled packs

ACE

ACE SPEC Rare

You'll pull a ACE SPEC Rare roughly 1 in 20.

5.00% odds from 3,000 sampled packs

Expected Value by Tier

Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.

RR

Double Rare

1 in 6

Avg card value
$1.80
EV per pack
$0.30

Top chase: Fezandipiti ex - 038/064 at $4.74.

IR

Illustration Rare

1 in 12

Avg card value
$23.81
EV per pack
$2.02

Top chase: Duskull - 068/064 at $51.63.

UR

Ultra Rare

1 in 15

Avg card value
$4.99
EV per pack
$0.32

Top chase: Fezandipiti ex - 084/064 at $12.96.

ACE

ACE SPEC Rare

1 in 20

Avg card value
$0.58
EV per pack
$0.03

Top chase: Neutralization Zone at $0.81.

SIR

Special Illustration Rare

1 in 67

Avg card value
$28.81
EV per pack
$0.43

Top chase: Fezandipiti ex - 092/064 at $47.31.

HR

Hyper Rare

1 in 143

Avg card value
$28.43
EV per pack
$0.20

Top chase: Basic Darkness Energy at $44.73.

Top Chase Cards by Tier

The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.

Sources & Methodology

Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.

Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.

FAQ

What are the pull rates for Shrouded Fable?
Shrouded Fable pull rates are based on 3,000 documented pack openings and currently carry medium confidence confidence.
What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in Shrouded Fable?
Hyper Rare lands about 1 in 143 in Shrouded Fable, based on 3,000 sampled packs.
Are Shrouded Fable pull rates official?
No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.