Celebrations Pull Rates
See the exact odds for every rarity tier in Celebrations, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.
Rarity tiers
3
Rarest listed odds
1 in 250
Secret Rare
EV per pack
$0.92
Full Pull Rate Table
Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 35.00% | 1 in 3 | 541 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12.80% | 1 in 8 | 541 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 0.40% | 1 in 250 | 541 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/celebrations-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://www.pokebeach.com/forums/threads/all-%E2%80%98celebrations%E2%80%99-cards-promos-products-revealed.152588/
What This Means
Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.
H
Holo Rare
You'll pull a Holo Rare roughly 1 in 3.
35.00% odds from 541 sampled packs
UR
Ultra Rare
You'll pull a Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 8.
12.80% odds from 541 sampled packs
SR
Secret Rare
You'll pull a Secret Rare roughly 1 in 250.
0.40% odds from 541 sampled packs
Expected Value by Tier
Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.
Top Chase Cards by Tier
The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.
H
Holo Rare
Avg value $0.83 • 1 in 3
UR
Ultra Rare
Avg value $3.10 • 1 in 8
SR
Secret Rare
Avg value $57.61 • 1 in 250
Sources & Methodology
Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.
Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.
FAQ
- What are the pull rates for Celebrations?
- Celebrations pull rates are based on 541 documented pack openings and currently carry medium confidence confidence.
- What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in Celebrations?
- Secret Rare lands about 1 in 250 in Celebrations, based on 541 sampled packs.
- Are Celebrations pull rates official?
- No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.