Obsidian Flames PC ETB
11 packs + $2.00 in promos
9.0%
return
$24.00
market EV
$265.82
sealed price
You lose ~$241.82 on average
How the EV is Calculated
EV per booster pack = $2.00
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.00 × 11 packs = $22.00
This product contains 11 booster packs.
$22.00 + $2.00 promos = $24.00
Promo card value is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
$24.00 ÷ $265.82 = 9.0% return
Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
Cash-Out EV: $15.36 — applies a 0.64x multiplier to account for TCGPlayer/eBay fees (~13%), shipping, and the gap between market price and actual sale price.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $2.00 EV per pack. For this 11-pack product, multiply by 11.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/11pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 12 | $9.68 | 7.70% | $0.75 | $8.25 | 37.5% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 6 | $18.61 | 3.10% | $0.58 | $6.38 | 29.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $14.88 | 1.90% | $0.28 | $3.08 | 14.0% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $2.97 | 6.70% | $0.20 | $2.20 | 10.0% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 21 | $1.32 | 14.30% | $0.19 | $2.09 | 9.5% |
| Total | $2.00 | $22.00 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Obsidian Flames, sorted by how much they contribute to EV. "Your odds" shows the chance of pulling that specific card in this 11-pack product.
Charizard ex - 223/197
#223/197 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 5.5% (11 packs)
$83.02
+$4.72 EV
Charizard ex - 228/197
#228/197 · Hyper Rare
Your odds: 6.8% (11 packs)
$38.33
+$2.67 EV
Ninetales -199/197
#199/197 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 6.8% (11 packs)
$28.31
+$2.00 EV
Cleffa - 202/197
#202/197 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 6.8% (11 packs)
$18.70
+$1.32 EV
Charizard ex - 215/197
#215/197 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 6.0% (11 packs)
$17.40
+$1.07 EV
Gloom - 198/197
#198/197 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 6.8% (11 packs)
$14.18
+$1.00 EV
Pidgeot ex - 225/197
#225/197 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 5.5% (11 packs)
$14.98
+$0.85 EV
Charizard ex - 125/197
#125/197 · Double Rare
Your odds: 7.2% (11 packs)
$6.72
+$0.50 EV
Basic Fire Energy - 230/197
#230/197 · Hyper Rare
Your odds: 6.8% (11 packs)
$4.26
+$0.30 EV
Tyranitar ex - 211/197
#211/197 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 6.0% (11 packs)
$4.37
+$0.27 EV
Assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Obsidian-Flames-Pull-Rates/e2a66999-a7b5-4621-9765-c9a132e04bd2/, https://www.digitaltq.com/obsidian-flames-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/sv3/obsidian-flames/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●Sealed price ($265.82) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($2.00) is based on estimated value of included promos.
- ●Cash-Out EV uses a 0.64x multiplier (~36% haircut) for fees, shipping, and price-to-sale gap.
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.