Don't rip Celebrations right now.
Keep it sealed.
No product returns more than 12% of its sealed price.
If you must open something: Celebrations Premium Figure Collection loses the least at 12.2% return.
All 7 Products
Celebrations Premium Figure Collection
8 packs
12.2%
return on $95.05
$95.05 → EV: $11.56
You lose ~$83.49
See full breakdown →
Celebrations Collection
4 packs
10.4%
return on $50.77
$50.77 → EV: $5.28
You lose ~$45.49
See full breakdown →
Celebrations Ultra-Premium Collection
17 packs
7.3%
return on $465.24
$465.24 → EV: $33.94
You lose ~$431.30
See full breakdown →
Celebrations PC ETB
12 packs
6.1%
return on $209.05
$209.05 → EV: $12.84
You lose ~$196.21
See full breakdown →
Celebrations Mini Tin
2 packs
4.0%
return on $41.17
$41.17 → EV: $1.64
You lose ~$39.53
See full breakdown →
Celebrations Booster Pack
1 pack
3.5%
return on $23.39
$23.39 → EV: $0.82
You lose ~$22.57
See full breakdown →
Celebrations ETB
10 packs
3.4%
return on $302.58
$302.58 → EV: $10.20
You lose ~$292.38
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Mew (Secret)
#025/025
Secret Rare$53.71
EV: $0.21
Flying Pikachu VMAX
#007/025
Ultra Rare$5.96
EV: $0.11
Pikachu
#005/025
Holo Rare$5.11
EV: $0.11
Surfing Pikachu VMAX
#009/025
Ultra Rare$5.35
EV: $0.10
Mew
#011/025
Holo Rare$2.92
EV: $0.06
Surfing Pikachu V
#008/025
Ultra Rare$3.20
EV: $0.06
Flying Pikachu V
#006/025
Ultra Rare$2.44
EV: $0.04
Professor's Research (Full Art)
#024/025
Ultra Rare$1.47
EV: $0.03
Lugia
#022/025
Holo Rare$0.56
EV: $0.01
Zacian V
#016/025
Ultra Rare$0.59
EV: $0.01
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 7 | $2.79 | 12.80% | $0.36 |
| Holo Rare(H) | 17 | $0.73 | 35.00% | $0.25 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 1 | $53.71 | 0.40% | $0.21 |
| Total EV / Pack | $0.82 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 35.00% | 1 in 3 | 541 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12.80% | 1 in 8 | 541 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 0.40% | 1 in 250 | 541 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/celebrations-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://www.pokebeach.com/forums/threads/all-%E2%80%98celebrations%E2%80%99-cards-promos-products-revealed.152588/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Celebrations worth opening?
- At current market prices, Celebrations Premium Figure Collection only returns 12% of its sealed price. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Celebrations booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Celebrations booster pack is $0.82 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Celebrations?
- The most valuable cards in Celebrations are Mew (Secret) ($53.71), Flying Pikachu VMAX ($5.96), Pikachu ($5.11).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Celebrations?
- Pull rates are based on 541 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Celebrations products return an average of 7% of their sealed price based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 541+ pack openings.